Horse Racing Betting Systems, Strategies and Tips for National Hunt Jumps Racing and Exchange Betting. Part 1.

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Author: Mikejdavies

Historically, horse racing betting used to be focussed almost entirely on the flat.

Up until about 1960 winter horse racing over the jumps, known as National Hunt racing was considered a very inferior cousin to the high quality horse racing on the flat.

Fields were small and uncompetitive, prize money was poor and so profitable horse race betting was nigh on impossible or at least getting a worthwhile starting price was nigh on impossible.

Prize Money

During the 1960’s the cameras moved in and the excitement of jumps racing was brought to the masses via TV, not surprisingly it wasn’t long before the prize money followed.

Today there isn’t much difference in prize money between flat and jumps horse racing.

Where the prize money goes, the owners are sure to follow and so it was the case. The horses improved, the quality and class improved and the races tightened up.

However, although jumps horse racing and betting is more competitive today, the racing stats show that in certain types of horse race the favourites are extremely consistent compared to the flat.

1st let’s explain some of the terminology around the National Hunt season.

The season proper takes over as the flat season ends, to provide more horse racing and betting in the winter months and so keep poor trainers, owners and bookmakers in a job.

The jumps season proper is between mid October and the end of April.

There are 2 main categories of jumps race.

Steeplechases (Novice and Handicap Chases)

Usually just referred to as “chases”. These are between 2 miles and 4 and a half miles and the fences are fixed rigid fences set at a minimum of 4 and a half feet. These races are dangerous and exciting.

Hurdles (Novice and Handicap Hurdles)

Hurdles races are run between 2 miles and 3 and a half miles and the hurdles are more forgiving and less rigid at only 3 and half feet and give way if they are hit.

The Grand National has taken its place as the greatest steeplechase on earth, with prize money to reflect its glory and status.

No-one can doubt the excitement generated by this event in what was once considered a lesser cousin of flat racing.

Let’s examine the jumps racing stats from 2004 onwards:

• Handicap Hurdle, 8298 bets, 30% win • Novice Hurdle , 10238 bets, 45% win • Novice Handicap Hurdle, 2358 bets, 27% win • Selling Hurdle , 2572 bets, 31% win • Other Hurdle, 3471 bets, 41% win • Handicap Chase, 9337 bets, 31% win • Novice Chase, 6455 bets, 48% win • Novice Handicap Chase, 2031 bets, 29% win • Hunter Chase, 2083 bets, 44% win • Other Chase, 1468 bets, 38% win • NH Flat, 2720 bets, 34% win

1st of all we can say without doubt, exactly as on the flat, handicaps are a major problem compared with non handicaps.

But overall we can see 3 race types where the win ratio results for favourites at starting price are extremely impressive.

• Novice Hurdle, 45% win • Novice Chase, 48% win • Hunter Chase, 44% win

To start our analysis you must understand that in jumps races there are a totally different set of circumstances which you must address when including or removing horses from your field selection as compared with the flat.

Jumps racing form is largely a mix of weight carried, jumping ability, stamina and speed.

The 1st point to note is that the distance for these races tends to be between 2 miles and up to 4 miles, much longer than the flat races.

Horses for Courses

A notable similarity with the flat racing is that the layout of certain jumps race courses appears to affect the results and certain courses appear to be particularly attractive to National Hunt race favourites.

This is very relevant when deciding on your field selection.

The best 10 jumps courses in terms of % win ratio as of 2009 are:

1. Ayr 2. Fakenham 3. Folkestone 4. Haydock 5. Kelso 6. Lingfield 7. Newcastle 8. Newton Abbot 9. Warwick 10. Wetherby

It just so happens that the layout of these jumps race courses appears to favour the favourites more so than the other courses.

However it must be made clear to horse racing betting punters that:-

“Blindly backing a high % of winning favourites does not always lead to a clear profit.”

Horse race betting simply does not work like that.

What you need to establish is “value” and the high % of winning favourites in long distance jumps racing lead me to further analyse the data to find simple profit making horse race betting system strategies that can be applied to National Hunt jumps betting.

Mike J Davies is a Horse Racing Expert, LSE Day trader, and a Betfair Trader and Advisor. For a free demonstration of scalping the Betfair racing markets, and advanced Betfair technical training . For More Exchange Horse Race Betting , Bet Angel Betting Software Horse Racing Systems and Guaranteed Profitable Betfair Trading Tips and Horse Race Betting Strategy.